Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 13.820559 15.805653 17.920617 20.335654 23.010764 25.876985 29.173855
2025-11-02 10.731131 13.354368 16.338450 19.961432 24.216968 29.032204 34.866799
2025-11-09 8.785265 11.681315 15.146786 19.553400 24.957922 31.318556 39.314409
2025-11-16 7.396728 10.420727 14.200906 19.199635 25.554519 33.277945 43.278741
2025-11-23 6.229593 9.264521 13.214913 18.628161 25.734902 34.620666 46.427386
2025-11-30 5.536663 8.638093 12.820668 18.731019 26.705643 36.917192 50.779891
2025-12-07 4.947712 8.078622 12.444144 18.791599 27.573573 39.064795 54.968482
2025-12-14 4.488671 7.649056 12.194607 18.979443 28.582971 41.396086 59.436989
2025-12-21 4.047545 7.194440 11.860185 19.003264 29.336727 43.380355 63.476427
2025-12-28 3.784295 6.984157 11.857576 19.485835 30.731474 46.258737 68.786599
2026-01-04 3.511832 6.728526 11.759359 19.806633 31.889088 48.827908 73.730173
2026-01-11 3.217403 6.404647 11.525340 19.896463 32.695939 50.911861 78.040537
2026-01-18 2.823966 5.874788 10.929388 19.398201 32.613674 51.738651 80.631319
2026-01-25 2.503421 5.437749 10.446686 19.039430 32.710586 52.809316 83.582518
2026-02-01 2.214405 5.024584 9.967264 18.646941 32.721465 53.733299 86.324403
2026-02-08 1.967097 4.661012 9.540642 18.306678 32.784044 54.716977 89.158798
2026-02-15 1.716427 4.259885 9.012825 17.757109 32.475811 55.114315 91.115954
2026-02-22 1.583493 4.082526 8.872559 17.856015 33.209004 57.108597 95.496889
2026-03-01 1.457648 3.905088 8.716818 17.914270 33.869677 59.000411 99.759853
2026-03-08 1.358039 3.772859 8.635011 18.094912 34.733914 61.225779 104.576181
2026-03-15 1.249069 3.606296 8.472917 18.117820 35.326420 63.031146 108.780648
2026-03-22 1.196271 3.563612 8.550905 18.581952 36.684038 66.084388 114.983318
2026-03-29 1.131067 3.483657 8.547093 18.890538 37.779333 68.739095 120.615900